Experts from the German cancer research center (DKFZ) signs in the journal “Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention” how to avoid the with only three measures within a period of 30 years and a Million cases of cancer: Including tax increases for tobacco products and a comprehensive advertising ban.
The scientists estimate that without additional measures to control the tobacco consumption in the year 2050, approximately 14.8 percent of men and 10.2 percent of women smoke. This share could be reduced if tobacco is banned the advertising, the control is considerably increased and cigarette packaging were neutral in design: model calculations according to the proportion of smoke would be men and women only at 9.7 and 6.7 percent.
What at first sounds like no big difference, but in the number of cancer cases clearly evident, such as Thomas Gredner explained by the DKFZ: "In comparison to a ‚as bisher‘ in terms of tobacco control, we could avoid the implementation of these three measures within the next 30 years, over a Million cases of cancer in Germany." Since tobacco also contributes to many other diseases, the impact of the three measures is even much greater.
In Germany, every fifth Cancer is caused incidence by tobacco. However, 26.4 percent of men and 18.6 percent of women currently smoked, and Germany is the European tail light in the implementation effectiveness of proven tobacco-control measures. "In particular, a comprehensive tobacco advertising ban is long überfällig", Ute Mons from the DKFZ said.